On 16 January 2008, Constellation Program Manager Jeff Hanley issued an internal agency memo wherein he asked a lot of people to adopt a series of Ares and Orion launch date slips.
Most significantly, he said that Ares 1-Y would shifted 12 months from September 2012 to September 2013.
At the time, NASA PAO denied that there was any 12 month postponement announced even though Hanley's memo went to more than 80 people across the agency announcing these changes.
Folks at NASA HQ were furious about getting this uncoordinated email (the one that PAO was downplaying) and Hanley was eventually ordered to rescind the memo.
NASA Administrator Mike Griffin was not happy about this topic during a Space Transportation Association (STA) breakfast presentation a few days later.
All of this arm waving and denials aside, it would seem that Jeff Hanley knew what was going to happen - eventually.
NASA sent Lockheed Martin a letter on 1 July 2008 asking that the company "develop a NTE value" for the several changes. One change was to:
"Update programmatic milestone dates to the following:
*AA-3 Flight Test is deleted
*Flight Test Objectives for AA-1 and AA-2 are unchanged
Compare these changes to those contained in Hanley's earlier memo. Look familiar?
"Pursuant to recent analysis of program resource execution plans, the Program is adjusting the internal launch dates for the CxP Flight Manifest as follows: