Special Hurricane Frances Statement from the 45th Weather Squadron

Status Report From: 45 Weather Squadron Patrick Air Force Base
Posted: Wednesday, September 1, 2004

image This weather statement is for the Patrick AFB and Cape Canaveral Spaceport community and is based upon the official National Hurricane Center forecast issued at 11AM on 1 September 2004. This information will be updated no later than 6PM on 1 September 2004.

Hurricane Frances is currently 730 miles southeast of PAFB/CCAFS. It is a Category 4 Hurricane with winds in excess of 120 knots (140 mph). It is moving northwest at 14 knots (16 mph) and in the general direction of the Florida central coast and PAFB/CCAFS. Given this movement, the closest point of approach to PAFB/CCAFS is currently forecast to be 38 miles southwest of PAFB/CCAFS on Saturday, 4 September at 11 AM. At that time, PAFB/CCAFS could experience wind speeds in excess of 100 knots (115 mph), heavy downpours, street flooding, hail, and isolated tornados. At landfall, this hurricane could produce a storm surge along the immediate coast in excess of 13 feet above normal tide level.

Future changes in strength, movement, and landfall will probably occur and are difficult to forecast.

Last updated: 9/1/2004 11:00 AM.

Next update no later than 9/01/2004 at 6PM

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