Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 06 Nov 2009

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 06 Nov 2009

STATUS REPORT
Date Released: Saturday, November 7, 2009
Source: Space Environment Center (NOAA)

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Nov 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 310 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Nov 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1030 (N24W07) was
a simple beta group with 6 spots. No flares were observed.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to
be quiet on day one (07 November). Quiet to unsettled levels, with a
slight chance for active conditions at high latitudes, are expected
on day two (08 November) in response to a weak recurrent coronal
hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet
levels on day three (09 November).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Nov 071
Predicted 07 Nov-09 Nov 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 06 Nov 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Nov 000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Nov 000/001
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov 005/005-007/007-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/10/05
Minor storm 01/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

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