From: Space Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
Posted: Thursday, March 1, 2018
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 60 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Mar 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (02 Mar, 03 Mar, 04 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 436 km/s at 01/0006Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 872 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (02 Mar, 03 Mar, 04 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 02 Mar-04 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Mar 067
Predicted 02 Mar-04 Mar 068/070/072
90 Day Mean 01 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Feb 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Mar 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Mar-04 Mar 005/005-006/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Mar-04 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Minor Storm 20/15/20
Major-severe storm 10/15/20
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