From: Space Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
Posted: Thursday, June 14, 2018
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 165 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jun 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (15 Jun, 16 Jun, 17 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 352 km/s at 14/0930Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 14/0716Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 14/0534Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1606 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (15 Jun, 16 Jun, 17 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 15 Jun-17 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Jun 072
Predicted 15 Jun-17 Jun 072/072/072
90 Day Mean 14 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jun 007/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jun 006/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jun-17 Jun 005/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jun-17 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
// end //