From: Space Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
Posted: Tuesday, June 11, 2019
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 162 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jun 2019 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (12 Jun, 13 Jun, 14 Jun). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 354 km/s at 10/2110Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active levels on day one (12 Jun), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (13 Jun) and quiet levels on day three (14 Jun). III. Event probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 11 Jun 070 Predicted 12 Jun-14 Jun 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 11 Jun 072 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jun 004/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jun 007/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jun-14 Jun 013/015-008/008-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun A. Middle Latitudes Active 40/20/10 Minor Storm 25/05/01 Major-severe storm 05/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/20/15 Minor Storm 30/30/20 Major-severe storm 50/20/15
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