SpaceRef

SpaceRef


Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast 12 October 2019

Status Report From: Space Weather Prediction Center (NOAA)
Posted: Saturday, October 12, 2019

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 285 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Oct 2019 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (13 Oct, 14 Oct, 15 Oct). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 467 km/s at 11/2100Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 740 pfu.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected

to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (13 Oct, 14 Oct, 15 Oct). III. Event probabilities 13 Oct-15 Oct Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 12 Oct 068 Predicted 13 Oct-15 Oct 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 12 Oct 068 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 11 Oct 006/007 Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Oct 006/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Oct-15 Oct 007/008-008/008-009/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Oct-15 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 20/20/20 Minor Storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/15/15 Minor Storm 30/20/25 Major-severe storm 25/20/25


// end //

More status reports and news releases or top stories.

Please follow SpaceRef on Twitter and Like us on Facebook.

SpaceRef Newsletter