Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 15 Nov 2009

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 15 Nov 2009

STATUS REPORT
Date Released: Sunday, November 15, 2009
Source: Space Environment Center (NOAA) - Comments

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Nov 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 319 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Nov 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 1031 (N30E20)
emerged on the disk on 14 November and was numbered today as an
Axx-alpha group with one spot.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (16-18
November).
III. Event Probabilities 16 Nov-18 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Nov 075
Predicted 16 Nov-18 Nov 075/077/078
90 Day Mean 15 Nov 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Nov 003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Nov 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Nov-18 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Nov-18 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

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